Colin marking managing editor of the Atlantic for sociology, psychology and other social scientists for too often merrily discerning the obvious or confirming and the commonplace. His own casual survey of social science findings a turn up, no ideas or conclusions and this can be found in Barclays or any other Encyclopedia of quotations. Nevertheless, just if you're competing things we need research, consider some doodling Proverbs. He's it's more true that too many cooks spoil the broth. The pen is mightier than the sword. You can teach an old dog in your thread.

Blood is thicker than water. He who hesitates is lost. And Forewarned is forearmed or dead two heads are better than one. Actions speak louder than words. You are never too old to learn many kinfolk few friends. Look before you leave, and don't cry.

The bridge until you come to the I knew it all along phenomenon can have unfortunate consequences. It is good use it to arrogance an overestimation of our own intellectual powers. Moreover, because outcomes seem as if they should have been foreseeable, we are more likely to blame decision makers for what are in retrospect obvious, bad choices, then to praise them for good choices, which also seem obvious. In the aftermath of the 2008 world financial crisis, it seems obvious that governments regulators should have please safeguards against the ill fated bank lending practices. But what was obvious in hindsight was unforeseen by the Chief American regulator Alan Greenspan, who found himself in a state of shock disbelief at the economic college. We sometimes without support stupid mistakes, perhaps for not having handled a person Or a situation rather, looking back we see how we should have handled it.

For example, we are saying I should have know how busy I would be added semesters and and started that paper earlier. But sometimes we are too hard on ourselves. We forget that what is obvious to us now was not nearly so obvious at this time physicians who are told both a patient's symptoms, and because of that, as the Thurman buyouts have said, sometimes wonder how an incorrect diagnosis could have been made. Other physicians, even only the symptoms don't find the yet diagnosis narrowly so obvious. What is the slow word to assume malpractice if they were forced to take a forced side rather than a hand side perspective? What do we conclude that common sense is usually wrong?

Sometimes it is. At other times, conventional wisdom is right or it feels on both sides of an issue. does happen is comfortable. knowledge of the truth or for proceeding, illusion, humming with others or from leaving in peaceful solitude, opinions are a dime a dozen no matter what we find there will be someone who forcely mark on data that autumn was the only person who was seeing a good thing new that nobody has added before. But which of the many competing ideas best fit reality research can specify the circumstances under which a common sense reasoning is valid? The point is not that common sense is predictable wrong.

Rather common sense usually is right. But after the fact, we're there for easily deceive ourselves into thinking that we know and knew more than we did. And that is precisely why we need science to help us fix reality from illusion and genuinely predictions from easy insight.