Let's look at changing context. A lot of what's happening globally is writing organizations. And some of that even impacts us personally. So let's start with the big picture. I'd like you to get this image in your mind's eye, there's blue and white, green and brown, or that we're hurtling through time and space on. And given that big picture perspective, at this moment in history.

Right now, what's your sense of the global pace of change? Is it quieter than normal? Is it about normal? Is it more chaotic than usual? Or is it perhaps never been like this before? So what's your thoughts on that?

I want to share two perspectives on this to see if we can shine a little more light on the pace of change globally. First time I saw the screen, my response was, oh, too much text. I don't have time to read this nonetheless. I did and I found it interesting and even a little helpful. So I would invite you to simply take the 30 seconds, it takes no more than that to read Asimov's, quote, push, pause now, and read this. Welcome back.

So what's your thought? What did this leave you with? I just think you remember two things coming out of this one, as it was pretty smart guy to put man's existence into this perspective. So that, you know, someone was relatively average intelligence, like myself can understand it. The second thing was, clearly the pace of change is speeding up. You could put that pace of change speeding up on a bit of a graph, time on the horizontal rate of change on the vertical and we would end up I'll be a bumpy line, a bit of a exponential curve, if you will, where we see very little progress on the rate of change over a long period of time and then things start to expand.

All right. Where are we today? I don't know, we could be here. Maybe we're farther along. Maybe we're not that talk. I'm not sure.

Here's another way to think about this. Now, this is a way to think about human development before great ages. Now this is profoundly out of scale. The arrow that goes to the left of hunting gathering suggests that it's hundreds of thousands of years old and long, so we don't have that scale on the screen. But these great ages the hunting and gathering followed by agricultural followed by scientific followed by industrial wildlife change or change has been constant throughout this time. It hasn't happened in a even accelerated pace.

There have been compressions, short, intense periods of chaos and transformation that hinge each of these great ages together. And every time we come through one of these periods of Chaos and transformation, the pace is changing speeds up. So let's just look at this really quickly, again, a very condensed view of these periods of chaos and transformation. So hunting and gathering hundred thousands of years, and things start to settle down things. Actually, we started to figure things out as a species. Initial thing, we've started to figure out how we can actually harvest wild grains and grass and so on for food tours.

Now, we've been doing this for a while, but someone took the step to put the seeds in the ground and see if we could intentionally grow them ourselves rather than wait for the seasons to produce them. Of course, we still had to pay attention to breaking ground of course, which we'd never done before. We use some pretty crude instruments or implements pulled by people but we learn how to domesticate animals that provided us power for the plow if you will. Also a more predictable and somewhat safer food source we learned how to manage water and irrigation. We settled down as a species and land becomes power, we learn how to store food, the population grows and 10s of thousands of years, we're in the agricultural age. And then we start to figure more things out.

Interesting that the scientific revolution really got started with astronomy. The prevailing thought of the day now this is back in the late 1400s, was that the earth is the center of the known universe. People like Kepler and Copernicus, Galileo big telescope, that proved that the earth actually is just a planet that revolves around the Sun and there's other planets that revolve around the sun and there's highly likely to be other suns, with other planets. This turned the prevailing thought, right upside down, and was a very unpopular notion for all Quite a while, Gutenberg perfected printing press and started the capacity to share knowledge across a very wide scale. It took a while for the printing press to catch on because not many people could read. But eventually, universities and colleges started to grow and you start to learn more things faster, many more people had access to the printed word, Magellan sets out and while he didn't make the Voyage Home, but it was the first circumnavigation of the earth, proving irrefutably that the earth is not flat.

And one of the major things that came out of the scientific revolution was the scientific method. Now this was a disciplined approach for solving problems and proving opinions or perspectives that had been long held. Now the scientific method was used to Herald major changes in medicine, and all kinds of research and engineering. So it actually accelerates the pace of change again. And we're in the Age of Enlightenment now in the age of the Renaissance. And now we creep up to the Industrial Revolution.

And this is accelerating us through major breakthroughs like the steam engine was perfected here by James Watt. It was used to power trains. The first use was put to keeping water out of coal mines coal had become the fuel of choice was also hooked up to things like cotton looms and the textile business transformed overnight, put it in a ship whole paddle Wheeler or a propeller and almost overnight transformed global transportation, hooked it up to tractors to plows, fundamental shift in agriculture. And the migration was on and this was the population now started to migrate to big cities increasing in size and they were dirty. burning coal so on. So the urban center started to develop in this Industrial Revolution.

And we've been in this industrial age for the last few hundred years. Well, actually, we've been in the last few years of the industrial age. And we're in this digital revolution that's unfolding right now retina underneath our nose. Breakthrough is like the integrated circuit that started back in the late 50s and early 60s and that was put into computers and until this time had been massive things would fill up larger rooms. Somebody started to play with the idea. There's a couple people actually of hooking these computers up together by phone lines.

Some of you may remember the dial up modems, that was in the early years of the internet. A major breakthrough that happened wasn't a digital technology, but it was November the ninth 1989. The Berlin Wall fell which signaled the collapse of the idea of a controlled economy. So now, the world is basically in a free market economy. Well, that provided all kinds of finance and money available for lots of things worldwide web started to take hold in the early 90s. telecommunications started to hook things up far faster than phone lines would.

Throughout the decade of the 90s, the money that went into fiber optic cable underneath yours oceans provided a level of connection and speed that had been till this time completely available. mosaic is another name you're likely to remember it was the very first browser these days, we've got logos for the four most common browsers that connect us all to unprecedented a rapidly growing market of information. And we're using tools now that are flat screen small, very fast, that connect us all 20 473 65 all around the world. Now, we're not Through this revolution yet because we're still relying on Industrial Age fuel sources, and we're likely to be in this period of profound chaos and transformation for another generation or two until we solve the next great energy problem. So go back to your thought again this pace of change today in human history at a global level.

Quiet about normal more chaotic than usual or is it never been like this? I'm in the never been like this camp. It the scope, the pace the complexity, I truly believe is unprecedented at this point in time.